Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estates February 2017 Market Report: Yikes!

Wow, Lake Norman’s February home sales were stunning, but not in a good way: they were DOWN a whopping 34% compared to last February and the worst February since 2012,  The only thing that I can say is that if you have been reading my market reports you know this drop was anticipated but I honestly didn’t think our closed sales would come in quite so low. Not to fret, however, this is not the whole story. What’s next? Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman real estate's February 2017 Market Report

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s December 2016 Market Report: It’s a Wrap!

Thanks to another strong month, our Lake Norman real estate market ended 2016 with a healthy 6.8% increase in single family home sales versus 2015 and the highest number of annual home sales since 2005!  While our December sales only beat out last December’s by single digits, we still ended with 6 of the 7 final months of 2016 beating 2015 numbers handily. The cherry on top again this month is that the number of new contracts once again are higher than the past two years indicating that we should begin 2017 in the black. Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman real estate market report December 2916

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

  • Waterfront homes continue to under perform despite Lake Norman’s overall high sales numbers. Waterfront properties represented only 26.6% of our December closed sales,. At the same time they currently comprise 40.7% of our active listings. The average sales price of a waterfront home in December was $886,643 which is slightly higher than the past 2 months but well below August’s $1,040,070, July’s $912,446.  Our overall luxury housing market remains soft as well which is linked closely to our waterfront market. The average price per square foot of our waterfront homes came in at $226.00 down from last month’s impressive $252.94 and October’s $237.98. This number is best averaged over a longer period of months because it only takes one or two really expensive sales ($2- 3 million+) to skew any given month. It took on average whopping 162 days for a waterfront home to sell (verses 108 last month)and they sold for only 93% of the listing price compared to 96% last month. We currently have only 49 waterfront homes under contract comprising 26.7% of our total homes under contract.  Our waterfront homes’ months of inventory actually dropped down to 8.8 compared to 11 last month. Waterfront home sales are still in a buyer’s market.  These numbers certainly indicate that now would be a good time to by a waterfront home.  That said, this varies quite a bit by price range, location and quality of water.  Don’t be complacent because when really nice waterfront properties hit the MLS as they are actually selling quickly.
  • 29 new construction homes closed in December through our MLS but this does not reflect an accurate picture of new home sales since so many are custom or are purchased directly from the builders and therefore never enter the MLS. (In fact, this segment of the market may be skewing our Lake Norman home sales numbers quite a bit.) The average listing price vs sales price of new construction single family homes was 99%. There is still very little if any wiggle room in new home prices. (But ask for all those great upgrades!) We currently have 75 new construction homes under contract in the MLS. The average sales price in December logged in at $391,829.  The months of supply of active listings based on December sales stands at 7.1 so overall new construction homes are technically in a buyer’s market but again this varies greatly by location and price range.
  • Distressed sales” (Foreclosures (REO’S), defaults, Short Sales) represented 1.5% of Lake Norman’s total  home sales. With just 2 distressed closed sale for the entire month it is clear they didn’t play a role in December at all.  Distressed active listings currently comprise 2.1% of Lake Norman’s current total inventory of single family homes for sales. Distressed sales continue to play an insignificant role in our Lake Norman real estate market. 
  • 50.0% of Lake Norman’s December single family home sales were under $400,000 which is about equal to last month’s.
  •  68.8% of Lake Norman home sales in December were under $500,000, which is a bit higher than last month’s.
  • Our “Under Contract Show” AND “Under Contract No show”/Pending sales combined total of 183 is once again higher than that past two years at this same date but not as much of a difference than prior months this fall. We have 4% more properties under contract than at the same time in 2015 and 18.8% more than January 6, 2014. We are on pace to have a relatively good start to 2017.

A closer look at the chart:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s November 2016 Market Report

Wow, a 33% increase in Lake Norman’s home sales in November, now that is impressive! In 5 of the past 6 months we have beaten the same months in 2015 and 4 of the 5 by double digits. Not only were November’s sales 33% higher than last November but they also were the highest November sales since 2005. The cherry on top is the number of new contracts where are also significantly higher than last year indicating that this momentum is going to continue throughout the next several months at least. Mercurial has been emphatically replaced by momentum as my favorite adjective to describe our current Lake Norman real estate market.  Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman real estate Market Report November 2016

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s October 2016 Market Report:

Lake Norman’s overall real estate market is still extremely active despite entering into our seasonally slower months. 4 of the past 5 months have beaten the same months in 2015 and 3 of the 4 by double digits! In October we closed 17% more home sales than last October and based upon our new contracts it looks like this momentum is going to continue throughout the next several months at least. Mercurial has been emphatically replaced by momentum as my favorite adjective to describe our current Lake Norman real estate market.  Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman Market Report October 2016

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s September 2016 Market Report is Here!

Wow, I think Lake Norman’s real estate market is officially on a roll after a rather up and down first half of 2016.  Now 3 of the past 4 months have been record breaking and based upon our new contracts it looks like this momentum is going to continue throughout the next several months at least! Following an impressive 18% increase last month (compared to August 2015) we have already logged in 171 sales for September for a 13% increase over September 2015.  This is the highest number of single family home sales in the month of September since 2005 and when stragglers come in we may even beat that number! Mercurial has been replaced by momentum as my favorite adjective to describe our current Lake Norman real estate market.  Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman Real Estate Market Report September 2016

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s July 2016 Market Report: The Roller Coaster Continues!

Mercurial is the word that comes to mind when describing our 2016 Lake Norman real estate market.   After being teased with strong “under contract” and pending sales statistics but disappointing closed sales numbers all spring, it all turned around in June with a record high 210 closed sales only to suffer a 12% drop in closed sales in July! Once again we have record high numbers of properties “under contract” but when will they translate into closed sales? Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman Real Estate's Sales Analysis for July 2016

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s June 2016 Market Report: Record Breaking!

Finally!!!  After being teased with strong pending sales but disappointing closed sales numbers all spring, it all turned around in June. At 202 closed sales Lake Norman logged in the 3rd highest monthly sales since 2004!  On top of this, as of today we have a high number of pending contracts as well. Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman real estate sales analysis June 2016

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s January 2016 Market Report is Here!

While never in agreement, most economists and pundits do seem to conclude that 2016 will see only modest gains in the US housing market.  Here in Lake Norman, after booking a healthy 7.3% increase in home sales in 2015 over 2014, we have launched 2016 with a solid 10%+ gain over last January and logged the best January sales since 2007. This is doubly impressive given our continued extremely low inventory of active listings.  But where are we trending for the next few months?  Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman Real Estate's January 2016 Market Report

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s December 2015 Market Report

Our Lake Norman home sales in December, while 6% below last year’s, were actually the highest monthly sales of our fourth quarter 2015 and the second best December since 2006. After an impressive first 9 months in 2015, our last three months just couldn’t match 2014’s exceptionally strong fourth quarter.  That said, given that our inventory of active listings is still insanely low (9% below last year’s), it is actually impressive that we logged as many sales as we did.  And, for the year, our 2015 closed single family home sales ended up 7.3% higher than 2014’s!  After 9 straight months of  beating the 2014 sales, October broke our winning streak but not enough to take away our annual sales increase.  Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman Real Estate's Market Report December 2015

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s September 2015 Market Report: Good News & Bad News

So here is the good news: Lake Norman squeaked by last September’s total home sales by 2% making it the 9th month in a row where we beat 2014 closed sales.  The bad news?  October is really going to be ugly.  Unfortunately, last October we had a particularly strong month and there is just no way we are going to be able to match those numbers this month given our low number of pending and newly under contract sales. Our inventory of active listings is insanely low (11% below last year’s) which will also serve as another challenge to the rest of 2015 sales. If there is a silver lining  it is that after October our sales in 2014 dropped significantly so there is a chance we can pull out ahead of  last year again in November and December. And, our year-to-date 2015 closed single family home sales are 14% higher than 2014’s.  For the first time since the recession, Lake Norman’s housing market has been consistently strong every month in 2015. Unfortunately, it has been trending downward in the last few months and is now looking rather feeble. Let’s take a closer look:    

September 2015 Sales Analysis framed on 5th

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

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