Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s December 2013 Home Sales Analysis: A surprise ending to 2013!

After a very disappointing November, our Lake Norman real estate sales for December came in better than I expected and 2% higher than last December’s thus ending 2013 on a positive note.  Our December 2013 home sales were actually the best since 2006 which is only the fourth month we have accomplished this in  7 years!  I fear our celebration will be short lived however given the numbers below. There are also some interesting trends in our overall Lake Norman housing market so let’s take a closer look at the numbers to glean some insight into the short term future and exactly where the Lake Norman housing market stands right now.

Here are the December 2013 numbers from our Charlotte Multiple Listing Service for our Lake Norman Area 13 real estate market:

Lake Norman home sales analysis for December 2013

Lake Norman Real Estate’s December 2013 Sales Analysis Chart

* Note that the Charlotte Regional Multiple Listing Service created two new categories, Under Contract Showings (UCS) to continue and Under Contract no showings (UCNS). These replaced the Contingent, Conditional and Pending categories.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

  • “Distressed sales” (Foreclosures (REOS), defaults, Short Sales) plummeted to a new low of 5.3% of Lake Norman’s total home sales which is down from 14.8 last month. Prior months were: 11.3% in October, 15% in September, 9.4% in August, 11.3% in July, 6.9% in June, 10.6% in May , the 14% in April, 20.4% in March, 16.9% in February and January’s 29%. We only had 5 distressed home sales in December. The average price for distressed single family home sales was $413,757 compared to an earlier low of $252,526. Distressed active listings comprise only 3.5% of our total inventory of Lake Norman homes sale.  Clearly distressed sales no longer play a significant role in our Lake Norman real estate market!
  • 31.6 % of our closed sales were waterfront homes which is up from the last several months. The average sales price of Lake Norman waterfront homes in December was $772,116  which was the highest since July’s $874,988, June’s $990,693 and May’s $778,045. In December we had an slight uptick in our luxury housing market. Our average price per square foot remained $216 after peaking at $229 earlier this year.  Lake Norman’s waterfront home sales above $700,000 remain sluggish but the homes that are selling are getting relatively strong offers based upon their size.
  • 11 new construction homes sold in December which is identical to November. The average listing price vs sales price of new construction single family homes was an impressive 103%! Clearly there isn’t a lot if ANY wiggle room on prices of new homes. We currently have 41 new construction homes under contract. The average sales price in December was up, logging in at $476,627 compared to 448,564 last month, $359,018 in October and$406,596 in September. It is important to note that many of the new construction homes you will see driving around Lake Norman are custom homes or will be sold directly from the builder to the homebuyer so will not be included in our Multiple Listing Service numbers.
  • 50.53% of Lake Norman’s October home sales were under $400,000.
  • 61 % of the entire Lake Norman home sales in December were under $500,000 which is the lowest in all of 2013.  it is truly refreshing to see some improvement in our trade-up and luxury housing markets after an abysmal late summer and fall.
  • Our “Under Contract Show” AND “Under Contract No show”/Pending sales combined total of 155 was the eighth month in a row of decline after April’s record high of 319 . At 155, these are the lowest combined totals since February of 2012 and well below last year’s 184.  This does not bode well for our January/February 2014 sales.

A closer look at the chart:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s November 2013 Home Sales Analysis: Did the Grinch steal our momentum?

Our Lake Norman real estate market set a record in November but unfortunately not a positive one!  For the first time since December 2011 Lake Norman home sales did not exceed the same month a year prior. As of today, our November closed sales are 10% below November 2012’s.  That said, they are still the second highest November since 2007.  While disappointing,  this is not a surprise based upon the softening trends I have noted consistently for the past several months.  Within the overall Lake Norman housing market there are some interesting trends that will be examined below so let’s take a closer look at the numbers to glean some insight into the short term future and exactly where the Lake Norman housing market stands right now.

Here are the November 2013 numbers from our Charlotte Multiple Listing Service for our Lake Norman Area 13 real estate market:

Lake Norman real estate home sales analysis for November 2013 including waterfront homes

Lake Norman Real Estate’s November 2013 Sales Analysis Chart

* Note that the Charlotte Regional Multiple Listing Service created two new categories, Under Contract Showings (UCS) to continue and Under Contract no showings (UCNS). These replaced the Contingent, Conditional and Pending categories.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

  • “Distressed sales” (Foreclosures (REOS), defaults, Short Sales) comprised 14.8%  of Lake Norman’s total home sales which is up from  11.3% last month. Prior months were: 15% in September, 9.4% in August, 11.3% in July, 6.9% in June, 10.6% in May , the 14% in April, 20.4% in March, 16.9% in February and January’s 29%. We only had 13 distressed home sales in November. The average price for distressed single family home sales was $241,588 compared to an earlier low of $252,526. Distressed active listings comprise only 2.7% of our total inventory of Lake Norman homes sale! 
  • 26.1 % of our closed sales were waterfront homes which is about equal to last month but well below September’s 34.6%. The average sales price of Lake Norman waterfront homes in November was $696,900 compared to $662,850 last month and September’s $738,972, August’s $709,753, July’s $874,988 June’s $990,693 and May’s $778,045. What is really interesting to note is that the average price per square foot actually increased for the second month in a row to $216.15 compared to $211.11 last month and $215.43 in September after peaking at $229. Our waterfront home sales above $700,000 remain sluggish but the homes that are selling are getting relatively strong offers based upon their size.
  • 11 new construction homes sold in November. The average listing price vs sales price of new construction single family homes remains 101%! Clearly there isn’t a lot if ANY wiggle room on prices of new homes. We currently have 49 new construction homes under contract. The average sales price in November was up, logging in at $448,564 compared to $359,018 last month and$406,596 in September. It is important to note that many of the new construction homes you will see driving around the lake are custom homes so will not be included in our Multiple Listing Service numbers.
  • 56.8% of Lake Norman’s October home sales were under $400,000.
  • A whopping 73.86 % of the entire Lake Norman home sales in October were under $500,000 which is down slightly from last month’s 75.25% but up from 66.3% in September and more in line with February’s 81.7%, 81% in January, 74 % in December and 75% last November. After seeing an upswing in both the trade-up price ranges and our Lake Norman luxury homes over the late spring and summer, we have now had several pretty weak months in a row of sales in our trade-up and luxury housing markets.
  • Our “Under Contract Show” AND “Under Contract No show”/Pending sales combined total of 197 was the seventh month in a row of decline after April’s record high of 319 . At 197, we dropped down from last month’s 207  but are now equal to last year’s 197. It appears that the bleeding has stopped and our  Lake Norman housing market may have stabilized but it doesn’t look like we will see double digit sales increases again any time soon.

A closer look at the chart: Continue reading

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