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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s February 2019 Market Report

Lake Norman real estate market report

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

With two months in the books, our Lake Norman’s real estate market has posted strong sales in 2019 and there are some very positive indicators for March and April.  This follows on the heels of a very a rough end to 2018. Our February sales were up 4% compared to last year. At 118 sales, February was also up 18% compared to last month and was the highest February since 2005. Talk about a radical upswing since December! My numbers below should provide some deeper insight into where we are headed as well as details regarding this month’s sales.

Here are what I feel to be the biggest takeaways from February’s Lake Norman real estate sales data:

  • Our Lake Norman home sales so far in 2019 are 3.3% above the same period in 2018. That said, average prices are lower across the board and 75% of our sales in February were under $600,000
  • Our inventory of active listings is even lower than last year’s. (26 fewer than last year). Every single month for several years we have seen a decline in active listings. It is hard to quantify but there is no doubt that our low inventory has had a negative impact on our Lake Norman’s home sales.
  • Our newest contracts (UCS) are UP 12% and pending sales (UCNS) are up 19% which further substantiates that our Lake Norman real estate market is strong and stable going into late winter and early spring.
  • Waterfront homes remain in a buyer’s market and the under contract numbers indicate sales in this niche will be weak for at least the next few months.
  • Is new construction taking on an increasing share of our market?  They are now 39% of our new contracts!
  • Right now more homes are selling and in must fewer days but our average prices are well below last year’s.

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s November 2018 Market Report

Lake Norman’s real estate market continued its dramatic downturn in November with a 26% drop in home sales compared to last year and a 31% drop from last month’s.  While this was the 4th best November since 2005 this certainly isn’t enough to restore our confidence. No matter what factors have contributed to our weakening housing market, we have been battered with three months and there is nothing to suggest this will change in the next few months given our low pending sales and new contracts’ numbers compared to last year. My numbers below should provide some deeper insight.

Here are what I feel to be the biggest takeaways from last month’s Lake Norman real estate sales data:

  • Our Lake Norman home sales were down for the third consecutive month and our year-to-date sales are down -3.6% compared to 2017.
  • Our inventory of active listings remains historically low, (13 fewer than last year), as they have been all year, never reaching our normal summer highs.  It is hard to quantify but there is no doubt that the low inventory does have a negative impact on our Lake Norman’s home sales.
  • Our pending sales and our newest contracts (UCS) are down which indicates a continuation of the slowdown for the rest of 2018.
  • Waterfront homes moved back into a buyers’ market.
  • I want to share with you again this great interactive calculator for determining rent vs. own costs from the New York Times!

Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman real estate market report for November 2018

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s October Market Report

As predicted, Lake Norman’s real estate numbers for October continued their downturn for a second month in a row. We logged in a total of 150 home sales, a 14% drop when compared to last October but a 13.6% increase over last month’s. So, while disappointing, not nearly as severe a decline as we experienced in September. And, this was the 4th best October in since 2005. Was Hurricane Florence a factor? No matter what factors have contributed to our weakening housing market, there is clearly a downward trend that will continue through the end of this year.  Our low pending sales and new contracts’ numbers compared to last year are both down which substantiates this trend. My numbers below should provide some insight.

Here are what I feel to be the biggest takeaways from last month’s Lake Norman real estate sales data:

  • Our Lake Norman home sales were down for the second consecutive month and our year-to-date sales are down -2.6% compared to 2017.
  • Our inventory of active listings remains historically low, (44 fewer than last year), as they have been all year, never reaching our normal summer highs.  It is hard to quantify but there is no doubt that the low inventory does have a negative impact on our Lake Norman’s home sales.
  • Our pending sales and our newest contracts (UCS) are down which indicates a continuation of this slowdown for the rest of 2018.
  • Waterfront homes moved back into a buyers’ market.
  • I want to share with you again this great interactive calculator for determining rent vs. own costs from the New York Times!

Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman Real Estate Sales Analysis

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s September Market Report

Lake Norman’s real estate numbers for September took a rather dramatic downturn. We logged in a total of 132 home sales (100 less than last month!), a whopping 35% drop when compared to last September and a 43% drop from last month’s. And, this was the worst September since 2013. Yikes!  Was Hurricane Florence a factor? After four very strong months our Lake Norman housing market’s September numbers are honestly a bit frightening.  Our low pending sales numbers from last month did indicate a slowdown but not to this degree. The million dollar question is where we are headed for the rest of 2018?  My numbers below should provide some insight.

Here are what I feel to be the biggest takeaways from last month’s Lake Norman real estate sales data:

  • September’s single family home sales were 35% below last September’s and 43% below last month’s which brought our annual year-to-date sales to -1.5% compared to 2017.
  • Our inventory of active listings remains alarmingly low numbers (a whopping 88 fewer than last year!) after never reaching our normal summer highs and yet we are still recording high sales.  It is hard to quantify but there is no doubt that the low inventory does have a negative impact on our Lake Norman’s home sales.
  • Our pending sales jumped back up however our newest contracts (UCS) are down which indicates a continuation of this slowdown for the rest of 2018.
  • Waterfront homes moved back into a balanced market.
  • I want to share with you again this great interactive calculator for determining rent vs. own costs from the New York Times!

Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman real estate Sales Report September 2018

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s July 2018 Market Report

Lake Norman’s real estate sales numbers for July exceeded my expectations slightly by logging in a total of 191 home sales which beats last June’s 187 by 2%. However, our July sales were 23% below last month’s.   After some ups and downs at the beginning of the year, the past three months have helped us to record 12 more sales in the first 7 months of this year compared to 2017’s record breaking year which is truly impressive and, quite honestly, unexpected by early national real estate projections. The million dollar question is can we sustain this level for the rest of 2018?  My numbers below will provide some insight into where we are headed for the next few months.

Here are what I feel to be the biggest takeaways from last month’s Lake Norman real estate sales data:

  • July’s strong numbers were able to lift our total sales for the past 7 month’s of 2018 above our record-breaking 2017 numbers.
  • Our inventory of active listings continues to drop to alarmingly low numbers (a whopping 136 fewer than last year!) at a time when they should be peaking and yet we are still recording strong sales.  It is hard to quantify but there is no doubt that low inventory does have a negative impact on our Lake Norman’s home sales.
  • We are seeing some weaker pending sales which will likely lead to a slight dip in sales in the next few months.
  • Waterfront homes slipped back in to a buyer’s market and we saw fewer luxury sales as well.
  • I want to share with you again this great interactive calculator for determining rent vs. own costs from the New York Times!

Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman Real Estate Market Report July 2018

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s June 2018 Market Report

Lake Norman’s real estate numbers for June exceeded even my expectations by logging in a total of 246 home sales which beats last June’s record breaking 236 by 4%. And, our June sales were 18.8% higher than last month’s.   After some ups and downs at the beginning of the year, the past two months have helped us to record 4 more sales in the first half of this year compared to 2017’s record breaking year which is truly impressive and, quite honestly, unexpected. The million dollar question is can we sustain this level for the second half of 2018?  My numbers below will provide some insight into where we are headed for the next few months.

Here are what I feel to be the biggest takeaways from last month’s Lake Norman real estate sales data:

  • June’s strong numbers were able to lift our total sales for the past 6 month’s of 2018 above our record-breaking 2017 numbers.
  • Our inventory of active listings remains alarmingly low (a whopping 136 fewer than last year!) and it has not increased as it should at this time of year yet we are still logging strong sales.  It is hard to quantify but there is no doubt that low inventory does have a negative impact on our Lake Norman’s home sales.
  • We are seeing some weaker pending sales which will likely lead to a dip in sales in the next few months.
  • Waterfront homes are now squarely in a seller’s market for the first time since the recession.
  • I want to share with you again this great interactive calculator for determining rent vs. own costs from the New York Times!

Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman real estate market report June 2018

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s April 2018 Market Report

We are now in our most active months for our Lake Norman area’s housing sales. After a dip in January, a jump up in February and a drop in March, our April Lake Norman real estate market followed this roller coaster pattern by posting a 5% gain over April 2017’s sales. And, we posted a 19.2% increase over last month’s home sales. So will this pattern continue?  Hopefully this month’s market report will provide us some insight as to what lies ahead.

Here are what I feel to be the biggest takeaways from last month’s Lake Norman real estate sales data:

  • April’s closed home sales were the highest April since 2005 even beating out last year’s 154. And, they are 19.2% higher than last month as well.
  • Our inventory of active listings remains alarmingly low and is not increasing as it should at this time of year; currently 11% below last year’s which were also historically low.  It is hard to quantify but there is no doubt that low inventory does have a negative impact on Lake Norman’s home sales.
  • We may continue to experience an up one month and down the next for at least the short term given our lower Pending numbers.
  • With 7 sales over $2 million we just might be experiencing a true return of our luxury housing market!

Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman April 2018 Home Sales Analysis

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

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lake norman real estate

Lake Norman Real Estate’s March 2018 Market Report

We are now entering our most active months for our Lake Norman area’s housing sales. After a dip in January and a jump up in February our Lake Norman real estate market once again took a hit in March when compared to March 2017’s sales. However, to be fair, this was expected due to March 2017’s exceptionally strong month so while 134 closed sales are disappointing they are certainly respectable when compared to previous month’s since the recession.

Here are what I feel to be the biggest takeaways from last month’s Lake Norman real estate sales data:

  • March’s closed sales were 29% lower than March 2017 but 17.5% higher than last month’s.
  • Our inventory of active listings remains alarmingly low; currently 3% below last year’s which were also historically low.  It is hard to quantify but there is no doubt that low inventory does have a negative impact on Lake Norman’s home sales.
  • After a strong February, as I predicted, we didn’t come close to meeting March 2017’s huge, record-breaking 188 closed sales.
  • What the heck is going on with our waterfront market? Yikes!  (See below)
  • Our trade-up ($600,000 – $999,000) and luxury price ranges were once again weak after a slight uptick last month. The only thing consistent about our higher price ranges is their constant roller coaster ride of ups and downs.

Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman Real Estate Home Sales Analysis

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s February 2018 Market Report

After a dip in January our Lake Norman real estate market kind of looks like it is back on track posting 60% more closed sales than February 2017. It is important to note, however, that February 2017 was a very weak month so while 112 closed sales is impressive, it is not quite as significant as it appears. There are also some indications in the numbers below that our short term market may struggle to meet last year’s record-breaking sales.

Here are what I feel to be the biggest takeaways from last month’s Lake Norman real estate sales data:

  • February closed sales were 60% higher than February 2017 and 13% higher than last month’s.
  • Our inventory of active listings remains alarmingly low; currently 11% below last year’s which were also historically low.  It is hard to quantify but there is no doubt that low inventory does have of a negative impact on home sales.
  • While we had a strong month, I foresee a rocky next couple of months ahead.
  • Our trade-up price ranges $600,000 – $999,000) this month were weak again as a group.  The only thing consistent about this niche is their constant roller coaster ride of ups and downs.
  • Waterfront home sales volume is down quite a bit as is our inventory which could present challenges for this spring.

Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman real estate housing report

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s October 2017 Market Report

October numbers are out! Here are what I feel are the biggest takeaways from last month’s Lake Norman real estate sales numbers:

  • We had another strong albeit not record-breaking month, logging in 167 closed sales of single family homes. (See green and yellow chart below).
  • While our numbers are good compared to the same month last year, there is no doubt that our overall housing market has slowed considerably with lower sales than the past 5 months.
  • At 1695 closed sales, our first 10 months of 2017 exceeded all previous years in Lake Norman’s history, even exceeding 2005’s previous record high by 6.2%.
  • What a freaky month when we look at price ranges.  A whopping 79% of our sales were under $600,000.  Then, seemingly out of nowhere, we had 7 sales OVER $2 million!
  • Our trade-up price ranges from $600,000-$999,999 simply disappeared after last month’s strong showing. So much for stability.
  • Waterfront homes fell back into a buyer’s market after two pretty strong months. Ups and downs and more ups and downs.

In a nutshell, these numbers mean that our overall strong sales in 2017 have been impressively consistent in beating prior year’s numbers month after month.  While there is no guarantee that this will continue long term, 2017 has really been a remarkable year for our Lake Norman real estate market. 2017 will be the single best year for home sales in Lake Norman’s history. That said, we still need to see consistent strength in our waterfront, trade-up and luxury niches for them to regain their pre-recession levels.

Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman real estate sales analysis October 2017

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s June 2017 Market Report: Historic Record!

Holy Cow! Lake Norman’s June closed home sales of 225 makes it the highest month in Lake Norman’s history, surpassing the previous high of 216 set back in August 2005! 5 out of the first 6 months of this year our sales exceeded 2016’s.  We were up against a huge May 2016 of 211 and managed to exceed that by a respectable 7%.  Over all, the first half of 2017 was 19.6% higher than the first half of 2016.  AND, at 932 closed sales, our first 6 months were the highest first 6 months in Lake Norman’s history!  Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman Market Report June 2017

* All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

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