lake norman real estate

Lake Norman Real Estate’s 4th Quarter 2018 Market Report by Price Range

Lake Norman experienced a dramatic slowdown in our 4th quarter but that doesn’t mean there weren’t “hot” niches.  The best way to understand our hot and cold niches is by analyzing our sales by price range which is why I create this chart each quarter.

If you are a home buyer or seller in the Lake Norman area it matters most what is happening in YOUR price-range. Yes, it is important to know about the global, national, and Charlotte area economy and real estate market but real estate is hyper-local so it is most meaningful for you to learn about the Lake Norman real estate market and within that, your specific niche. For instance, if you are looking to buy or sell in the $900,000 price range, you are going to have an entirely different experience than someone in the $800,000’s. And, if you considering a broader range of prices, this chart can help you develop a more effective strategy by narrowing your search based upon actual strengths and weaknesses within our Lake Norman price ranges.

The single most important number in this chart is the last column which provides that month’s of supply for each price range.  Keeping in mind that economists use 6-months supply as a balanced market and anything below that as a seller’s market and above 6 months as a buyer’s market, you can quickly determine this past quarter’s strengths and weaknesses.  Overall, at 5.77 months of supply of active listings, Lake Norman ended the year in a balanced market.

Lake Norman’s 4th Quarter 2018 Home Sales By Price Range

Lake Norman real estate home sales by price range 4th quarter 2018

*Compiled from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service’s data.  Note that the numbers in this chart are generated by a technology expert I hired and not by me. The mapped perimeter of our Lake Norman area that he used for this chart’s numbers is slightly different from mine.

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s November 2018 Market Report

Lake Norman’s real estate market continued its dramatic downturn in November with a 26% drop in home sales compared to last year and a 31% drop from last month’s.  While this was the 4th best November since 2005 this certainly isn’t enough to restore our confidence. No matter what factors have contributed to our weakening housing market, we have been battered with three months and there is nothing to suggest this will change in the next few months given our low pending sales and new contracts’ numbers compared to last year. My numbers below should provide some deeper insight.

Here are what I feel to be the biggest takeaways from last month’s Lake Norman real estate sales data:

  • Our Lake Norman home sales were down for the third consecutive month and our year-to-date sales are down -3.6% compared to 2017.
  • Our inventory of active listings remains historically low, (13 fewer than last year), as they have been all year, never reaching our normal summer highs.  It is hard to quantify but there is no doubt that the low inventory does have a negative impact on our Lake Norman’s home sales.
  • Our pending sales and our newest contracts (UCS) are down which indicates a continuation of the slowdown for the rest of 2018.
  • Waterfront homes moved back into a buyers’ market.
  • I want to share with you again this great interactive calculator for determining rent vs. own costs from the New York Times!

Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman real estate market report for November 2018

All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s September Market Report

Lake Norman’s real estate numbers for September took a rather dramatic downturn. We logged in a total of 132 home sales (100 less than last month!), a whopping 35% drop when compared to last September and a 43% drop from last month’s. And, this was the worst September since 2013. Yikes!  Was Hurricane Florence a factor? After four very strong months our Lake Norman housing market’s September numbers are honestly a bit frightening.  Our low pending sales numbers from last month did indicate a slowdown but not to this degree. The million dollar question is where we are headed for the rest of 2018?  My numbers below should provide some insight.

Here are what I feel to be the biggest takeaways from last month’s Lake Norman real estate sales data:

  • September’s single family home sales were 35% below last September’s and 43% below last month’s which brought our annual year-to-date sales to -1.5% compared to 2017.
  • Our inventory of active listings remains alarmingly low numbers (a whopping 88 fewer than last year!) after never reaching our normal summer highs and yet we are still recording high sales.  It is hard to quantify but there is no doubt that the low inventory does have a negative impact on our Lake Norman’s home sales.
  • Our pending sales jumped back up however our newest contracts (UCS) are down which indicates a continuation of this slowdown for the rest of 2018.
  • Waterfront homes moved back into a balanced market.
  • I want to share with you again this great interactive calculator for determining rent vs. own costs from the New York Times!

Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman real estate Sales Report September 2018

All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

Some significant additional statistics for you:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s 2nd Quarter 2018 Sales by Price Range

Wow, what an amazing report this quarter! I was really shocked to see the extent of the improvement in all of our middle to luxury price ranges and the strength of our sales despite such low inventory.  If you compare this chart to the second chart below for the same quarter in 2017 you will see the impressive evolution of our luxury and waterfront housing markets in the past year.

If you are a home buyer or seller in the Lake Norman area it really only matters what is happening in YOUR price-range. Yes, it is important to know about the global economy, the national economy and the Charlotte area economy and real estate market but real estate is hyper-local here so it is most meaningful for you to learn about the Lake Norman real estate market and within that, your specific niche. For instance, if you are looking to buy or sell in the $700,000 price range, you are going to have an entirely different experience than someone in the $800,000’s. This is the reason why I create a price-range analysis every quarter for my readers and clients:

Lake Norman’s 2nd Quarter 2018 Home Sales By Price Range

Lake Norman Home Sales by Price Range 2nd Quarter 2018

*Compiled from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service’s data, this chart enables you to focus on your specific price range(s) rather than use the broad-brush approach thus allowing you to size up your competition and better position yourself.  

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lake norman real estate

Lake Norman Real Estate’s March 2018 Market Report

We are now entering our most active months for our Lake Norman area’s housing sales. After a dip in January and a jump up in February our Lake Norman real estate market once again took a hit in March when compared to March 2017’s sales. However, to be fair, this was expected due to March 2017’s exceptionally strong month so while 134 closed sales are disappointing they are certainly respectable when compared to previous month’s since the recession.

Here are what I feel to be the biggest takeaways from last month’s Lake Norman real estate sales data:

  • March’s closed sales were 29% lower than March 2017 but 17.5% higher than last month’s.
  • Our inventory of active listings remains alarmingly low; currently 3% below last year’s which were also historically low.  It is hard to quantify but there is no doubt that low inventory does have a negative impact on Lake Norman’s home sales.
  • After a strong February, as I predicted, we didn’t come close to meeting March 2017’s huge, record-breaking 188 closed sales.
  • What the heck is going on with our waterfront market? Yikes!  (See below)
  • Our trade-up ($600,000 – $999,000) and luxury price ranges were once again weak after a slight uptick last month. The only thing consistent about our higher price ranges is their constant roller coaster ride of ups and downs.

Let’s take a closer look:

Lake Norman Real Estate Home Sales Analysis

All data is from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service.

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman Real Estate’s 3rd Quarter 2017 Price Range Overview

If you are a home buyer or seller in the Lake Norman area it really only matters what is happening in YOUR price-range. Yes, it is important to know about the global economy, the national economy and the Charlotte area economy and real estate market but real estate is hyper-local so it is most meaningful for you to learn about the Lake Norman real estate market and within that, your specific niche. For instance, if you are looking to buy or sell in the $700,000 price range, you are going to have an entirely different experience than someone in the $800,000’s. This is the reason why I create a price-range analysis every quarter for my readers and clients:

Lake Norman’s 3rd Quarter 2017 Home Sales By Price Range

Lake Norman home sales 3rd quarter 2017 by price range

*Compiled from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service’s data, this chart enables you to focus on your specific price range(s) rather than use the broad-brush approach thus allowing you to size up your competition and better position yourself.  

How to read this report:

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Lake Norman Real Estate Market Reports

Lake Norman’s 2nd Quarter 2017 Price Range Market Report

If you are a home buyer or seller in the Lake Norman area it really only matters what is happening in YOUR price-range. Yes, it is important to know about the global economy, the national economy and the Charlotte area economy and real estate market but real estate is hyper-local so it is most meaningful for you to learn about the Lake Norman real estate market and within that, your specific niche. For instance, if you are looking to buy or sell in the $700,000 price range, you are going to have an entirely different experience than someone in the $800,000’s. This is the reason why I create a price-range analysis every quarter for my readers:

Lake Norman’s 2nd Quarter 2017 Home Sales By Price Range

Lake Norman Real Estate's Marktet Report by price range 2nd Quarter 2017

*Compiled from the Carolina Multiple Listing Service’s data, this chart enables you to focus on your specific price range(s) rather than use the broad-brush approach thus allowing you to size up your competition and better position yourself.  

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